17 November 2017   Uri Avnery: A History of Idiocy - By: Uri Avnery

16 November 2017   Jordanian and Palestinian Evangelicals unite in Amman - By: Daoud Kuttab

16 November 2017   Losing The Last Vestiges Of Our Moral Fabric - By: Alon Ben-Meir

15 November 2017   Anti-BDS Laws and Pro-Israeli Parliament: Zionist Hasbara is Winning in Italy - By: Romana Rubeo and Ramzy Baroud


13 November 2017   Israel lobby is slowly being dragged into the light - By: Jonathan Cook

10 November 2017   Uri Avnery: Two Meetings - By: Uri Avnery

9 November 2017   Important to implement joint Orthodox council - By: Daoud Kuttab


3 November 2017   Uri Avnery: Who is Afraid of the Iranian Bomb? - By: Uri Avnery


27 October 2017   Uri Avnery: Pickled Cucumbers - By: Uri Avnery












5 أيلول 2015   "من الأزل".. آخر كتب الراحل جونتر جراس - بقلم: المركز الألماني للإعلام (ألمانيا إنفو/ almania info)



8 December 2016

Trump and the Palestinian State

By: Fadi Elhusseini
print     send by email

Trump’s victory was a real shock, not only for decision-makers in every single capital on this planet, but also to experts and observers who saw nothing but a landslide triumph for the democrats and Hilary Clinton. Shortly after his victory, statements splashed media and political corridors, and Donald Trump himself announced readiness to meet with Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu. Many Israeli officials didn’t shy out from saying that the Trump era will be the golden age for the Israeli- American relations and the odds for establishing a Palestinian state become nil. 

In Israel, many politicians said they expected Trump to move the US Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Israeli Education Minister Naftali Bennett said with Trump’s presidency, there is a chance for Israel to “retract the notion of a Palestinian state.” In fact, with Trump’s victory, the negative repercussions of the so-called Arab Spring and the ongoing chaos in the Middle East served to broaden the clouds of doubt hanging over and led many Palestinian observers to have bleak outlook on the prospects of the peace process and the Palestinian cause in general.

Those observers had reasons for pessimism. During the election campaign, Trump not only committed to moving the US embassy to Jerusalem, but also praised the Republican platform that omits past support for a two-state solution and calls Jerusalem Israel’s “indivisible” capital. Trump and his aides said that Israeli illegal settlements are not an obstacle to peace.

The main pillars of the President-elect’s campaign are staunch advocates and flagrant supporters of Israel and Netanyahu’s policies, such as John Bolton, and Rudy Giuliani, candidates for department of state, not to mention Newt Gingrich, and Michael Pence. Needless to say, Trump has been elected as a representative of a Party that enjoys the majority in the Congress and the Senate. In other words, the administration’s policies will receive support from both legislative institutions.

In spite of those indicators that led to Palestinian’s pessimism, I think it is indeed too early to judge the consequences of the election of Trump and whether this election will lead to a disaster on the Palestinian cause or else for a number of reasons.

First, the Israeli official statements carry a lot of exaggeration especially with regards to the possibilities of establishing a Palestinian state. Those statements are nothing but a psychological attempt that aims to put further pressure on the President-elect in order to fulfill his pre-election promises. This psychological campaign targets as well the Palestinian president at the aim of weakening his moderate front which embarrassed Israel internationally. That being said, I would not have expected different Israeli statements if Hilary Clinton was elected.

Second, regarding the chances of establishing a Palestinian state, it does not depend solely and exclusively on the name of the US president, but rather it is based on more in-depth givens; including the Palestinian dimension itself; internal conditions such as unity and steadfastness in face of the systematic Israeli practices directed to end the Palestinian presence on their land. It also depends on the Palestinian’s resilience and ability to cope with the international turnabouts and regional polarization. It likewise hinges on the international will and desire to end this conflict, and I don’t see that this moment has come yet. It contingent as well on Israel’s readiness to compromise and to accept exchanging peace now with unforeseen future threats in such turbulent region. 

Third, it is true that the United States has the most influential role in the peace process, yet old habits die hard. In effect, US foreign policy neither counts on the name of the president nor is subject to drastic changes. US presidents have usually a small margin that allows them to shift slightly away from the broad, well-known and agreed upon lines of foreign policy that are drawn in advance. Perhaps the proximity (of course by a short distance) differs when the president is a Republican or a Democrat.

Although Trump enjoys Congress and Senate Republican majority, two facts should not be overlooked: first is that Trump himself has neither been part of the Republican elite nor its political structure. Until recently, his statements and positions aroused dissatisfaction and dismay by many traditional Republicans. Second is the importance of the role of the deep-state which has been setting up aforementioned broad lines of US policy.

At this juncture, one can say that the most critical challenge would be Trump's ability to maneuver and distance himself from traditional US foreign policy broad lines. If he succeeds, this would constitute an unprecedented case in US decision-making history.

Any change in US traditional foreign policy broad lines will be evident not only on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict but also on the entire Middle East. If this to happen, it will usher a period of uncertainty in international affairs. In other words, a change that would reach other regions and will eventually have an impact on the whole US international relations network. By then, US relations with traditional allies and friends will be affected and the entire web of international relations may witness a revolution.

Perhaps the conjuring question would be: Can Trump match words with deeds? In other words, can Donald Trump move the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem? Many US presidents said they would do during their campaigns, but when they took office they realized that such a decision contradicts with US traditional foreign policy broad lines. If Trump does so, then this would a fundamental turning point and a significant sign for unprecedented deviation from traditional US foreign policy.

Preliminary indications show that realpolitik comes to the fore and Trump will not stray far from known axioms of American foreign policy. His recent statement that he will work to reach a peace agreement between the Palestinians and the Israelis confirm that he has already begun reading the White House brochure for new presidents. 

In a word, pragmatism asserts its rights. While it may be early to make judgments, it is crucial to admit that a Palestinian state is part and parcel of the internationally recognized two-state solution: the state of Israel and the state of Palestine. Any US president who is eager to see a more stable Middle East must work on making this solution achievable. Disregarding the realistic demands of either party would lead to more degradation of this solution and would eventually put the last nail in the coffin of the already-waning Middle East Peace Process.

A previous version appeared on: http://www.eastonline.eu/en/opinioni/open-doors/trump-palestinian-state

* A Palestinian diplomat and writer. - f_elhusseini@hotmail.com



Name
Email
Comment
Security Code


21 تشرين ثاني 2017   فتيان السياسة..! - بقلم: عمر حلمي الغول

21 تشرين ثاني 2017   بوتين/لافروف وفساد المنظمات غير الحكومية - بقلم: ناجح شاهين

21 تشرين ثاني 2017   لماذا المصالحة؟ - بقلم: د. مصطفى البرغوتي

21 تشرين ثاني 2017   إشكال الديني والسياسي والبحث عن مرجعية ناظمة..! - بقلم: د. إبراهيم أبراش

21 تشرين ثاني 2017   مكتب منظمة التحرير.. "عقوبات وقائية"..! - بقلم: د. أحمد جميل عزم

21 تشرين ثاني 2017   الواقعية السياسية وإسقاط الأمنيات على الواقع - بقلم: هاني المصري

21 تشرين ثاني 2017   السعودية ودم الحسين وكنعان..! - بقلم: بكر أبوبكر

20 تشرين ثاني 2017   الجامعة العربية.. لا هي جامعة ولا هي عربية..! - بقلم: راسم عبيدات

20 تشرين ثاني 2017   لا من ألفها الى يائها ولا من يائها الى ألفها..! - بقلم: حمدي فراج

20 تشرين ثاني 2017   نحن من يرسم معالم صفقة القرن..! - بقلم: د. عبير عبد الرحمن ثابت

20 تشرين ثاني 2017   ترامب يزيل القناع عن وجهه..! - بقلم: د. مازن صافي

20 تشرين ثاني 2017   ابتزاز أمريكي رخيص..! - بقلم: خالد معالي

19 تشرين ثاني 2017   محددات نجاح الحوار..! - بقلم: عمر حلمي الغول

19 تشرين ثاني 2017   دولة بدون دولة.. وسلطة بدون سلطة - بقلم: راسم عبيدات




31 اّذار 2017   41 سنة على يوم الأرض: تماسك الفقراء - بقلم: بسام الكعبي


6 كانون أول 2016   نيلسون مانديلا: حضورٌ يقهرُ الغياب..! - بقلم: بسام الكعبي


3 كانون أول 2016   عادل الأسطة: ناقد لامع ومحاضر بارع..! - بقلم: بسام الكعبي

13 تشرين ثاني 2016   الجريحة داليا نصار تقرأ مسيرة أم وديع بشغف لتنتصر - بقلم: بسام الكعبي




27 اّذار 2011   عداد الدفع المسبق خال من المشاعر الإنسانية..!! - بقلم: محمد أبو علان

13 شباط 2011   سقط مبارك فعادت لنا الحياة - بقلم: خالد الشرقاوي

4 شباط 2011   لا مستحيل..!! - بقلم: جودت راشد الشويكي


10 تشرين ثاني 2017   فيلم "ميلاد مر"؛ أو "يلعن أبو إسرائيل"..! - بقلم: ناجح شاهين


24 تشرين أول 2017   الطّلقة الأخيرة على رأسي الغبيّ* - بقلم: فراس حج محمد




8 كانون ثاني 2011   "صحافة المواطن" نافذة للأشخاص ذوي الاعاقة - بقلم: صدقي موسى

10 تشرين ثاني 2010   رساله .. - بقلم: جودت راشد الشويكي

3 تشرين ثاني 2010   شخبطة صحفية - بقلم: حسناء الرنتيسي

27 تشرين أول 2010   المدلل .. - بقلم: جودت راشد الشويكي

21 تشرين أول 2010   فضفضة مواطنية - بقلم: حسناء الرنتيسي


4 اّذار 2012   الطقش


26 كانون ثاني 2012   امرأة في الجفتلك



 
 
 
top

English | الصفحة الرئيسية | كاريكاتير | صحف ومجلات | أخبار وتقارير | اّراء حرة | الإرشيف | صوتيات | صحفيون وكتاب | راسلنا

جميع الحقوق محفوظة © لشبكة  أمين الأعلامية 2017- 1996 
تصميم وتطوير شبكة أمين الأعلامية